Archive for March, 2010
The Puzzle of Deltas
For years I have been telling traders to strive to purchase in-the-money options that have high Deltas, preferably 1. if possible. Recently, Bev, a friend and fellow trader and I had a dicsussion about Deltas and she explained that she understood it to be advantageous to have a high Delta, but not necessarily as high as 1. My goal has always been to achieve dollar option profit for every dollar stock profit.
Well, Bev gave me the particulars in a way that I could really understand and I stand corrected.
So here are the details.
P3 Strategy: Putting Profit Probability Potential on Your Side
Announcing the coming release of a new option trading strategy book by Wendy Kirkland, author of Option Trading in Your Spare Time. P3 Strategy should be available to readers by April 15th. For those who have asked, “How can I win more traders than I lose? The P3 strategy is the key to putting that profit probability potential on your side of the trade. Most option trading is a zero-sum proposition, until now, this strategy give you the higher winning percentage.
Some Sell Rules Don’t Require Charts
Here’s a key investing rule: Make buy decisions using sound fundamentals and technicals, such as IBD ratings and Chart patterns, and sell mainly on technicals.
But what exactly does it mean to sell on technicals?
Well, this rule is saying that ina few cases you can spot signals without checking out a stock’s chart.
Let’s examone of few of these signals:
Weakening Relative Strength. You probably bought your option on a stock when its IBD relative Strength Rating was 80 or higher. Consider selling when that rating slides. Think about exiting weh the rating falls below 70.
Standing alone within the Industry. Another sell signal is when your underlying asset is a “Lone Soldier” within its industry as the only one with a rising price. Cyclical changes are no doubt on the horizon.
Consider Selling when profit growth slows sharply. When the percentage increase in quarterly earnings slow sharply for two straight quarters, such as by 2/3 the previous quarter’s grwoth rate.
Contrarian Signal- Lots of publicity, excitement. Yes, this is a sell signal. When everyone thinks it is a wonderful stock, there comes a point where there is no one else to jump on the bandwagon. One downgrade can add a sour note that will spoil the trend.
A market correction. If the market enters a downtrend, don’t depend on your underlying asset to be able to swim against the tide. This is essential to protect your portfolio against severe losses.
If the stock rebounds, you get another chance to enter the trade. Better to be safe than sorry.